[Book Review] Did the CIA Create the Hippies?

Weird Scenes Inside the Canyon

Laurel Canyon, Covert Ops & The Dark Heart of the Hippie Dream

David McGowan (with a foreword by Nick Bryant)

Headpress, April 30, 2014, 316 pages (Paperback), also has Kindle version


This book addresses the question whether and to what extent powerful interests such as the “military industrial complex” influence or even fully create popular culture and the “news” convincing us to buy goods and services, support public policies or do things that are not in our interest and even quite harmful.

Weird Scenes Inside the Canyon argues that the hippie counterculture of the 1960’s largely grew out of the folk rock “revolution” music scene in Laurel Canyon in Southern California epitomized by the Byrds, Jim Morrison, and other counterculture icons of the era who lived in and around Laurel Canyon — not Haight Ashbury in San Francisco. Not only that but the Laurel Canyon music scene was a carefully staged psychological operation by “military intelligence” and the CIA to discredit the anti-Vietnam war movement by associating it with long haired, oddly dressed, drug addicted hippies.

Jim Morrison, Military Intelligence Operative?

The poster child for this theory is Jim Morrison of the Doors, surprisingly the son of Rear Admiral George Stephen Morrison who commanded the US fleet in the infamous and controversial Gulf of Tonkin incidents in August of 1964 which provided the pretext for a massive increase in the US involvement in Vietnam — flooding the small south-east Asian nation with US troops in 1965. Yes, Jim Morrison really was the son of Admiral Morrison. A number of other key figures in the folk rock revolution/Laurel Canyon music scene were sons of career military officers including John Philips of the Mamas and Papas, Frank Zappa, Gram Parsons of the Byrds, and Stephen Stills of Buffalo Springfield.

Dave McGowan (1960-2015) Discussing Weird Scenes Inside the Canyon in 2014

David McGowan (1960-2015, no relation) presents the birth of the 1965 folk rock revolution as follows:

All these folks gathered nearly simultaneously along the narrow, winding roads of Laurel Canyon. They came from across the country— although the Washington, DC area was noticeably over-represented— as well as from Canada and England, and, in at least one case, all the way from Nazi Germany. They came even though, at the time, there was no music industry in Los Angeles. They came even though, at the time, there was no live music scene to speak of. They came even though, in retrospect, there was no discernible reason for them to do so.

McGowan, David. Weird Scenes Inside The Canyon: Laurel Canyon, Covert Ops & The Dark Heart Of The Hippie Dream (p. 17). Headpress. Kindle Edition.

David McGowan returns to this theme several times in the book and in most of the many interviews he did on the book, many available on YouTube as of July 9, 2022. This thesis is demonstrably false.

There was a sizable music industry in Los Angeles in the 1958 to 1965 period including the Southern California icon Capitol Records founded in 1942. Capitol Records was the label for the Kingston Trio who launched the “folk music revival” in 1958 with their hit “Tom Dooley.” The author mentions Capitol at least three times in the book! Other LA area record labels included: Liberty Records (1955-1971), Dot Records (in LA 1956-present), Arwin Records (late 1950s-mid 1960s), Dunhill Records (1964-1967), and GNP Crescendo Records (1954-present).

There was a sizable live music scene as well including several nightclubs such as Doug Weston’s Troubadour, opened in 1957, that specialized in folk music. The author mentions the famous Troubadour club at least five times! Other live folk music venues at the time included Pandora’s Box (about 1958-1966) and Ed Pearl’s The Ash Grove (1958-1973).

There were many reasons for musicians, particularly folk musicians, to relocate to the Los Angeles area in the 1960s.

The folk music revival of the late 1950s, sparked by the Kingston Trio’s hit “Tom Dooley,” (reminder: Capitol Records), sparked folk music clubs and records all over the United States and indeed the world. A large fraction of the Laurel Canyon musicians were struggling or moderately successful in the folk music scenes in New York/Greenwich Village (John Philips and Cass Elliot of the Mamas and Papas), Toronto (Neil Young and Joni Mitchell), Cambridge (Harvard/Boston), Kansas City etc. There is a long history in the United States of people rebooting or trying to reboot a failed or stagnant career by heading west, especially to California.

Gidget (1959) Advertises Surfing and Southern California

Southern California could offer balmy weather, beaches, and scantily clad members of the opposite sex as well as proximity to the glamorous movie industry and a long history of tolerance for Bohemians and other oddballs compared to much of the country. California was not nearly as expensive in the 1950’s and early 1960’s as it is today.

Books like the 1957 bestseller Gidget and hit movies such as 1959’s Gidget, a sanitized movie version of the book starring Sandra Dee and James Darren, painted an idyllic vision of Southern California for teens and young adults. The Los Angeles music industry began churning out beach songs with the Beach Boys — another Capitol Records band — well before 1965. There were many reasons for struggling or stagnant folk musicians to migrate to LA.

How Typical was Jim Morrison?

Hundreds of musicians, both famous and not so famous, lived in and around Laurel Canyon in the late 1960’s into the 1970’s. An obvious explanation for the presence of ex military kids like Jim Morrison which Dave McGowan acknowledged in many of his interviews is rebellion against their presumably strict military upbringing. Military officers are often stereotyped as distant or even abusive fathers who try to run their family like a military unit, an often unsuccessful method. Dave McGowan argued that while this could explain an excess of military kids, all of the Laurel Canyon musicians were from military or military intelligence families or (in some interviews) all military or super-rich families; Gram Parsons of the Byrds was apparently both.

However, many of the musicians Dave McGowan mentions or even devotes entire chapters to did not have obvious military families. Although John Philips of the Mamas and the Papas father was a retired Marine Corps officer, Cass Elliot (Naomi Cohen)’s father ran a lunch wagon business for construction workers in the Baltimore area, Denny Doherty’s father was a dockworker, and Michelle Phillips (Gilliam)’s father was an LA County probation officer who had served in the military probably during or around World War II (see below for more discussion of World War II).

The book devotes an entire chapter “Endless Vibrations” to the scandalous, sometimes criminal antics of the Beach Boys. The Wilson brothers of the Beach Boys’ father Murry Gage Wilson owned an industrial equipment rental company in the Los Angeles area. Their cousin and fellow Beach Boy Mike Love’s father Edward Milton Love founded and owned Love Sheet Metal Company, another LA business.

Arthur Lee of Love, one of the few African American Laurel Canyon musicians, also the subject of an entire chapter, did not come from a military family. His biological father Chester Taylor was a cornet player. His step-father Clinton Lee was drafted in World War 2 but was a construction worker and stonemason in Los Angeles after the war, not a career military man.

Canadian Neil Young of Buffalo Springfield’s father Scott Alexander Young was a journalist. Fellow Canadian Joni Mitchell (Robert Joan Anderson)’s father William Andrew Anderson served in the Canadian military during World War II but became a grocer after the war. And so on. On close examination, many Laurel Canyon musicians, including many prominently featured in the book, did not come from career military families. While many appear to have come from solidly middle class or upper-middle class backgrounds, only a few are/were clearly super rich before making it big in popular music.

Most of the Laurel Canyon musicians were born in the early 1940s, right before, usually during, and occasionally right after World War II. Their parents were nearly all young adults during the war, the prime age to be drafted or volunteer for the massive war effort. It is estimated about sixteen million Americans served in the military during World War II (about two million in Europe), about eleven percent of the US population.

The US began building up its military and supplying arms to the British Empire years before Pearl Harbor. It took some time to somewhat demobilize the military after World War II with the Cold War perpetuating much of the wartime military and industry. World War II followed the Great Depression, most likely making a military career unusually appealing to this generation.

It is not surprising many Laurel Canyon musicians had parents who served in the World War II military. Many appear to have returned to civilian life. That some did not or had made a career of the military against the backdrop of the Great Depression and sky-high unemployment levels is also not that surprising.

The Classified Lookout Mountain Film Studio

Laurel Canyon was home to a secret classified film studio and lab on Lookout Mountain, a relatively secluded location up in the hills, from the 1940s until at least 1969. It is apparently now the home of actor Jared Leto. This appears to have been used to produce films of nuclear weapons tests but very little is known about the facility.

Weird Scenes suggests the facility may have somehow managed the Laurel Canyon hippie psyop, but presents no real evidence, even tangential connections between employees of the facility and hippie rockers who presumably at least occasionally passed each other in the Laurel Canyon shops, may have been neighbors, etc.

Mobsters, Manson, and Satanism

Weird Scenes features a Laurel Canyon “death list” of drug overdoses, suspicious accidents, purported suicides and clear murders in and around Laurel Canyon. Charles Manson and his followers had a number of well documented as well as alleged ties to some of the Laurel Canyon musicians, including Dennis Wilson of the Beach Boys. Manson and some others had ties to Anton Szandor LaVey (real name Howard Stanton Levy) and/or his Church of Satan. Heavy drug use and drug dealing permeate the accounts of the Laurel Canyon music scene.

Charles Manson Mug Shot (1968)

The book connects Laurel Canyon to many scandals and crimes, mostly in the LA area and in some cases alleges ties to various organized crime figures. The book manages to pull in everything from the death of stage magician and escape artist Houdini who lived in Laurel Canyon for a while, the Black Dahlia murder in 1947, the Tate-LaBianca (Manson) murders, and the so-called Wonderland murders in July of 1981 well after the Laurel Canyon music scene had peaked. Most of this has little to do with military intelligence or the CIA on the surface.

The book is not alone in suggesting a link between the “intelligence community” and Charles Manson. Tom O’Neil’s Chaos: Charles Manson, the CIA, and the Secret History of the Sixties (Little Brown and Company, June 25, 2019) speculates Manson and his cult were a CIA MK-ULTRA mind control and COINTELPRO operation to discredit the hippies and undermine the anti-war and/or anti-establishment movements of the time — not unlike Dave McGowan’s theory.

Perhaps. The evidence is rather weak. What then to make of the history of crime and scandal including Manson associated with Laurel Canyon?

The Sunset Strip, home to the nightclubs associated with the Laurel Canyon folk rock revolution music scene has a long and shady history. The Sunset Strip is only a few miles from the entrance to Laurel Canyon, an easy commute by car even today (about eight to eighteen minutes by car on Mondays at 8:30 AM according to Google). Google Maps reports it is an hour and a half walk from the so-called Houdini Estate in Laurel Canyon to the infamous Viper Room nightclub on Sunset Strip today.

The Pandora’s Box coffee house/nightclub (about 1958 to 1966) that specialized in folk music was located at 8118 Sunset Boulevard, about 1.4 miles from the Houdini Estate, only about four to eight minutes by car on Mondays at 8:30 AM today.

The Sunset Strip started out as an unincorporated region connecting Beverly Hills to the west and Hollywood to the east with lax law enforcement. In the 1920s it became home to nightclubs, speakeasies, strip clubs and other dubious operations often associated with the gangsters of the Prohibition era, a pattern generally agreed to have continued up to at least the 1950s.

The nightclubs catered to the Hollywood elite as well as the general public and often were associated with prostitution, gambling, drug dealing, and other illegal activities. Notorious mobsters such as Bugsy Siegel and his successor Micky Cohen frequented many of the nightclubs and were said to control some or all of them. Other nightclubs nearby, not on Sunset Boulevard, had similar reputations and histories.

One of the prime suspects in the gruesome Black Dahlia murder in 1947 was Mark Hansen, owner or co-owner of the huge Florentine Gardens nightclub (5955 Hollywood Boulevard). Elizabeth Short, the so-called Black Dahlia, was one of many young women who frequented the huge nightclub and stayed intermittently in Hansen’s bungalow behind the Florentine Gardens. Someone claiming to be the killer mailed a package with Short’s birth certificate, social security card, other personal items, and an address book with Mark Hansen’s name on the cover to the Los Angeles Examiner newspaper making Hansen one of the prime suspects. Hansen was widely believed to be mob connected at the time.

Historically, entertainment is a great business for laundering money because theater tickets, nightclub tickets, records and CD’s etc. were usually purchased with cash. Drug dealing, prostitution, illegal gambling and many other illegal activities generate large amounts of cash.

There are both widespread rumors and several documented scandals such as the extortion conviction of Morris Levy suggesting deep organized crime involvement in the music industry and payoffs to DJs and radio stations to play music on the air.

Charles Manson, for example, looks suspiciously like an underworld character who was selling drugs and women to the Laurel Canyon elite. Perhaps he truly went nuts or perhaps he was stiffed in a drug deal or other illegal transaction — or set up as a fall guy by some other nefarious persons. None of this requires the CIA or military intelligence or a psyop to discredit the anti-war movement.

The Death of Dave McGowan

Shortly after Weird Scenes Inside the Canyon was published, Dave McGowan died, reportedly from pancreatic cancer. The common highly aggressive form of pancreatic cancer usually kills in about six months.

Dave McGowan had been a little known “conspiracy theory,” usually a loaded pejorative term, writer with various articles, a web site, and several books prior to publication of Weird Scenes which did much better, garnering numerous reviews and sales on Amazon. He was interviewed on podcasts, radio and video a lot after Weird Scenes was published. This has led to suggestions that the book was too successful and the conspiracy killed him, presumably using a carcinogenic agent.

Certainly his death does seem a bit too coincidental. That said, about nine percent of Americans die in their fifties usually from common diseases such as cancer and heart attacks associated with old age. Dave McGowan was about fifty-five (55) when he died.

Conclusion

It is impossible at present to rule out the thesis of Weird Scenes Inside the Canyon but the case presented is weak. There was a vibrant music industry in LA in the late 1950s and early 1960s. There was a vibrant live music scene in LA dating back at least to the Sunset Strip of the 1920s. There were many reasons for folk musicians in particular to move to LA and Laurel Canyon near the live music venues in the mid 1960s.

Many of the Laurel Canyon musicians had negligible family or personal ties to the military, military intelligence, or the CIA. Several, most notably Jim Morrison, did have such ties which might make one wonder.

The scandals, crimes, and various shady goings on associated with Laurel Canyon and with the Laurel Canyon music scene probably reflect organized crime involvement in nightclubs and the music business dating back to the 1920s rather than some larger intelligence community plot.

(C) 2022 by John F. McGowan, Ph.D.

About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

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About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

[Video] COVID: The Psychology of Totalitarianism Book Review

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COVID: The Psychology of Totalitarianism Book Review

The Psychology of Totalitarianism
Mattias Desmet
Chelsea Green Publishing
White River Junction, Vermont, USA 2022, 231 pages
https://www.chelseagreen.com/product/the-psychology-of-totalitarianism/
(also available on Amazon)

Introduction

The Psychology of Totalitarianism is a new book by Mattias Desmet, a professor of clinical psychology at Ghent University in Belgium, outlining his theory of “mass formation” especially with respect to the response to the COVID-19 pandemic. His theory of “mass formation” was popularized by Dr. Robert Malone, the inventor or one of the inventors of the mRNA vaccine technology, during Malone’s Joe Rogan interview on the COVID pandemic and the COVID vaccines, using the name “mass formation psychosis” which Desmet does not use. Desmet has appeared on several podcasts touting his ideas since then, with several recent appearances to promote the book.

Briefly, I found the case for Desmet’s theory of mass formation with respect to the COVID response unconvincing, although I believe some of the factors such as widespread loneliness and social isolation that he discusses are contributing factors. Some sections of the book are quite interesting and insightful but for other reasons.

Rather, the “groupthink” and grossly irrational behavior during the COVID pandemic can be attributed to a “collective fight or flight response” not specific to totalitarianism, long predating the modern era, and common during wars and war-like episodes such as the aftermath of the September 11 attacks in the United States, World War I and World War II. This collective fight or flight response has been aggravated by pandemic profiteers such as Pfizer and Bill Gates much the same way that “Merchants of Death” selling weapons have aggravated the fight or flight response both before and during wars.

Mass formation is a theory to explain extreme instances of “mass hysteria” or “groupthink” including such episodes as the bloody purges in Stalinist Russia and Nazi Germany. The term and various mass formation theories predates Desmet who has his own variant of the theory which is elaborated in detail in the book. He cites such scholars as Gustave Le Bon and Hannah Arendt.

The book is well written, translated into easily readable English by Els Vanbrabant. A few sections are a bit dry and academic, but overall the English version is clear and interesting with no hint that it is translated other than the frequent references to Belgium and Belgians. It includes an index and references, although a number of critical statements lack footnotes.

The book is clearly marketed toward skeptics of the official COVID narrative or those with significant doubts — hopefully a large and growing group given the evident massive failures of the COVID vaccines since the summer of 2021. Others may be unable to see the case for widespread mass hysteria, groupthink, or other irrationality in the COVID response. The book cover and first pages feature numerous laudatory quotes from Robert Malone MD, Peter McCullough MD, and other prominent critics of the official narrative, policies, and generally the COVID vaccines. These one sided endorsements are likely to limit the reach of the book.

Desmet’s mass formation theory in the book is really two theories that he links together in a whole. The second theory is the mass formation theory that Desmet and Malone have discussed on several occasions. Namely, a general environment of loneliness, social isolation, lack of meaning, and “free floating anxiety” leads to a situation where a large fraction of the population (about thirty percent) fanatically embraces a simplistic, often rapidly changing narrative that provides a powerful sense of both meaning and solidarity with other people, substituting the greater good of the collective for normal social and moral relations. This mass formation is a form of collective hypnosis involving a narrow focus on a single simple goal such as “zero COVID” at any cost, including self-destructive measures and monstrous acts that would normally be rejected as immoral.

A Critique of Scientific “Rationalism”

In the book, Desmet attributes this environment of loneliness, social isolation, lack of meaning, and the associated free floating anxiety to the flaws and limitations of the modern Enlightenment rational materialistic mechanical worldview beloved of many scientists, engineers, and other intellectuals including himself until age thirty-five. Note that the social isolation and associated problems could have another cause than the rational scientific worldview but give rise to the mass formation. Desmet is specific in blaming the “rational” worldview however for the preexisting conditions that make possible the mass formation.

Desmet’s critique of the “rationalist” worldview, perhaps better called “scientism,” is extensive with many good points and insightful discussions of flaws in mainstream science and statistics, making up most of the book, nearly all of the first and third parts. The mass formation theory that many readers may have encountered on podcasts before the book’s recent publication makes up part two which is only about three chapters, sixty pages.

For me Desmet’s extensive criticism of the scientific rationalist materialistic worldview as he calls it was the most interesting part of the book, even though I disagree with his overall thesis. I found his discussion of the practical problems with statistics and graphical data presentation, focusing on the dismal and misleading use of statistics during the COVID pandemic, particularly interesting and insightful.

That said, Desmet’s discussion of quantum mechanics in modern physics is incorrect. The mainstream Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics does not give consciousness any special role in the measurement or observation in quantum mechanics. Some physicists have theorized consciousness in some way is the “measurement” or “observation” that collapses the quantum wave function in the mainstream Copenhagen theory. This is a fringe view.

The Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics is almost certainly “incomplete” and logically flawed as Einstein argued in his 1935 paper with Podolsky and Rosen. The problem is the lack of a clear consistent definition of “measurement” or “observation” in the mainstream theory. Incompleteness does not however mean that consciousness plays a central role in quantum mechanics as Desmet claims in several places. Most non-Copenhagen theories to resolve the incompleteness — for example the many worlds theory of QM — do not use consciousness to resolve the logical flaws in the Copenhagen Quantum Mechanics illustrated by Schrodinger’s Cat and other paradoxes.

David Bohm’s pilot wave theory — derived from the earlier pilot wave ideas of his mentor Einstein as well as deBroglie and Schrodinger — actually removes the need to invoke either a wave function collapse or consciousness by interpreting the quantum system as a pilot wave and a discrete particle somewhat like radar controlled drone guided by a radar signal bouncing and diffracting through a mountain range. The drone always has a specific location and velocity whereas the radar beam is spread out over the landscape, interfering with itself and causing confusing wavelike behavior in the trajectory of the drone.

Although Bohm linked his ideas to mysticism with the pilot wave or “quantum potential” analogized to the World Spirit (Anima Mundi) of western mysticism or the chi of eastern mysticism, the pilot wave theory is entirely mechanistic.

Desmet’s discussion of the supposed scientific revolution during the 17th century, illustrated with the usual stories about Galileo, is what most scientists and intellectuals in the modern world are taught. Yet it is grossly contradicted by the actual historical record which shows a seamless evolution from religion and mysticism, most clearly with the work of Johannes Kepler and Tycho Brahe, both mystics, alchemists, astrologers, and deeply religious men who envisioned God as mathematician dictating mathematical laws obeyed by subsidiary spirits or angels embodied in the Sun and planets.

This notion of a predictable, mathematical universe created by a God or gods is very old, dating back to Pythagoras in ancient Greek and very likely Pythagoras’s teachers in Egypt and Babylonia (modern Iraq). A benevolent God would hardly be the capricious, inscrutable nut case pictured by Carl Sagan and other atheist science popularizers in recent decades, instead providing rational laws of nature for His human creations.

The common textbook notion of a scientific revolution in the 17th century rejecting medieval religion and superstition, epitomized by Galileo and his clash with the Catholic Church, appears to be a projection of atheistic, materialistic views that became dominant in organized, professionalized science during the 19th century and early 20th century.

The Collective Fight or Flight Response

The fight or flight response is a powerful reaction to an immediate perceived threat such as a tiger or other large predator, a car accident, a human antagonist such as a mugger, or other physical dangers. It involves a narrowing of focus to the immediate threat, short term thinking, a strong physical response mediated by adrenaline and other hormones.

An extreme fight or flight response can include loss of pain sensations, the ability to fight and kill with severe, normally disabling or fatal injuries, and other dramatic changes. Many higher cognitive functions are lowered or turned off to handle the immediate threat. Some short term thinking skills and reflexes may be enhanced instead. The immune system is reduced or turned off to focus all energies on the immediate threat.

Human beings and other herd animals also have a collective fight or flight response most evident during wars or public emergencies. Obedience to authority increases. Conformity increases. People and groups that are perceived as different are frequently attacked, isolated (e.g. confinement of American Indians to reservations, internment of Japanese Americans in WW2), driven out (e.g. enslavement and expulsion of most Wampanoag from the Massachusetts colony after King Philips War in 1675) or killed (e.g. massacre of settlers by the Dakota Sioux in Minnesota in 1862). The collective focus narrows to the immediate survival threat. Group members will display flags or other signs to indicate membership in the group (e.g. wearing masks during the COVID pandemic, displaying vaccine cards and certificates) and make differentiating the group from the attackers easier.

These are instinctive, primal responses probably adapted to repelling an attack by a rival tribe or clan in ancient times. As in the individual fight or flight response, higher cognitive function is curtailed or turned off. If your village is being attacked by the tribe across the river, it is not the time for nuanced thought. Language such as “you are either with us or against us” surfaces. The tribe coalesces into a single military unit and fights as one.

The collective fight or flight response does not require preexisting loneliness, social isolation, discontent, a lack of meaning or any negative conditions at all. It simply requires a perceived physical threat to the group.

This is the “mass formation” behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic. Pandemics, even if due to the deliberate release of a biological weapon, are not attacks by a rival tribe in 10,000 BC. The collective fight or flight response can be disastrous in a non-military public emergency, real or imagined.

War profiteers learned a long time ago to provoke and exploit the collective fight or flight response to create and prolong wars, boosting profits often with disastrous consequences for most people. Pandemic profiteers such as Pfizer and Bill Gates can do the same.

Conclusion

The Psychology of Totalitarianism is well worth reading, both because of Desmet’s insights on scientific rationalism and because it will undoubtedly influence the debate and conflict over the COVID pandemic, vaccines, and policies. However, those skeptical of the rapidly changing COVID narrative or major parts of the narrative should not embrace Desmet’s mass formation hypothesis. While it is likely widespread loneliness and lack of meaning has contributed to the overreaction, the main cause is probably the primal collective fight or flight response stoked by a continuing barrage of fear porn from the advertising funded mass media.

Psychoanalyzing people to their face is rarely persuasive. Most people find this condescending and offensive. Desmet eschews the phrase “mass formation psychosis” with good reason and COVID skeptics should particularly avoid telling other people that they are psychotic.

(C) 2022 by John F. McGowan, Ph.D.

About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

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John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

[Article] Can Nuclear War Get You Reelected?

In the 1997 movie Wag the Dog a mysterious consultant played by Robert DeNiro and a Hollywood producer/campaign contributor played by Dustin Hoffman fake a war in Albania complete with a computer generated terrorism video produced by movie biz special effects wizards to divert public attention from a sex scandal engulfing a Bill Clinton-like President who is running for reelection. The phony war succeeds despite several snafus and a brief rebellion by the CIA. The President is reelected amidst a surge of war fever and patriotism. How well do wars work in the real world?

The most spectacular boost in Presidential approval ratings due to a war followed the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks that killed about 3,000 people on US soil, probably the largest single day massacre in US history both in absolute numbers and fraction of the population. (The few day Santee massacre of settlers by Dakota Sioux Indians in Minnesota in 1862 probably killed a larger fraction of the population at the time.) President George W. Bush and the Republicans seem to have benefited electorally from the subsequent “war on terror” in the 2002 and 2004 elections.

However, historically the effect of wars and national security events such as the successful launch of the Sputnik I (October 4, 1957) and II (November 3, 1957) satellites by the Soviet Union on Presidential approval ratings and electoral prospects is much more varied. Sputnik II is significant because the second satellite was large enough to carry a nuclear bomb unlike the beach ball sized Sputnik I.

Truman and the Korean War

President Harry Truman’s approval ratings had been declining for over a year prior to the start of the Korean War. He may have experienced a slight bump for a couple of months (see plot above) followed by further decline.

Eisenhower and the End of the Korean War

Like most new Presidents, Dwight Eisenhower experienced a big “honeymoon” jump over his predecessor Harry Truman. There is little sign he either benefited or suffered from the end of the Korean War.

Eisenhower and Sputnik I and II

Eisenhower’s approval ratings had been declining for almost a year when the Soviet Union successfully launched the first satellite Sputnik I on October 4, 1957. This was followed by the much larger Sputnik II on November 3, 1957 — theoretically capable of carrying a nuclear bomb. Although Sputnik I and II were big news stories and led to a huge reaction in the United States, there is no clear effect on Eisenhower’s approval ratings. He rebounded in early 1958 and left office as one of the most popular Presidents.

However, Eisenhower, his administration, and his Vice President Richard Nixon who ran for President in 1960 were heavily criticized over the missile race with the Soviet Union due to Sputnik. Sputnik was followed by high profile, highly publicized failures of US attempts to launch satellites. Administration claims that the Soviet Union was in fact behind the US in the race to build nuclear missiles were widely discounted, although this seems to have been true.

John F. Kennedy ran successfully for President in 1960 claiming the notorious “missile gap” and calling for a massive nuclear missile build up, winning narrowly over Nixon in a bitterly contested election with widespread allegations of voting fraud in Texas and Chicago. Eisenhower’s famous farewell address coining (or at least popularizing) the phrase “military industrial complex” was a reaction to the controversy over Sputnik and the nuclear missile program.

Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis

President Kennedy experienced a large boost in previously declining approval ratings during and after the Cuban Missile Crisis in October of 1962. This is often considered the closest the world has come to a nuclear war until the recent confrontation with Russia over the Ukraine. It also occurred only weeks before the mid-term elections in November of 1962.

Johnson and the Vietnam War

The Vietnam War ultimately destroyed President Lyndon Johnson’s approval ratings with the aging President declining to run for another term in 1968 amidst massive protests and challenges from Senator Robert Kennedy and others. There is actually little evidence of a boost from the Gulf of Tonkin incidents in August of 1964 and the subsequent Gulf of Tonkin resolution leading to the larger war.

President Johnson ran on a “peace” platform, successfully portraying the Republican candidate Senator Barry Goldwater of Arizona as a nutcase warmonger. Yet, Johnson — at the same time — visibly escalated the US involvement in the then obscure nation of Vietnam in August only a few months before the Presidential election in 1964.

Ford and the End of the Vietnam War

The end of the Vietnam War (April 30, 1975) seems to have boosted President Gerald Ford’s approval ratings significantly, about ten percent. Nonetheless, he was defeated by Jimmy Carter in 1976.

Carter and the Iran Hostage Crisis

President Jimmy Carter experienced a substantial boost in approval ratings when “students” took over the US Embassy in Tehran, Iran on November 4, 1979, holding the embassy staff hostage for 444 days. This lasted a few months, followed by a rapid decline back to Carter’s previous dismal approval ratings. The failure to rescue or secure the release of the hostages almost certainly contributed to Carter’s loss the Ronald Reagan in 1980.

George H.W. Bush and Iraq War I (Operation Desert Storm)

President George Herbert Walker Bush experienced a large boost in approval ratings at the end of the first Iraq War followed by a large and rapid decline, losing to Bill Clinton in 1992.

President George Bush, September 11, Iraq War II, and Afghanistan are discussed at the start of this article — overall probably the clearest boost in approval and electoral performance from a war at least since World War II.

Biden and Ukraine

As of June 16, 2022, President Joe Biden’s approval ratings have continued to decline since the February 24, 2022 invasion of Ukraine by Russia. There is not the slightest sign of any boost.

Conclusion

Despite the folk tradition epitomized by the movie Wag the Dog that wars boost a President’s approval and electoral prospects — at least initially — history shows mixed results. Some wars have clearly boosted the President’s prospects, notably after September 11, and others have done nothing or even contributed to further decline. Korea, for example, seems to have only contributed to President Truman’s marked decline and the loss to Eisenhower in 1952.

Probably the lesson is to avoid wars and focus on resolving substantive domestic economic problems.

(C) 2022 by John F. McGowan, Ph.D.

About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

[Video] Why Did Biden’s Approval Crash in August 2021?

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Twelve minute video on why President Biden’s approval ratings crashed in August of 2021.

References:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/older-americans-make-up-a-majority-of-covid-deaths-they-are-falling-behind-on-boosters

https://www.npr.org/2022/02/19/1081948849/elderly-people-make-up-75-of-covid-19-deaths-partially-due-to-loneliness

https://web.archive.org/web/20210731120830/https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home

https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html

https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/22/politics/fact-check-biden-cnn-town-hall-july/index.html

Jefferson’s First Inaugural Address: https://avalon.law.yale.edu/19th_century/jefinau1.asp

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About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).

[Video] Elon Musk, Tesla Layoffs, and the Engineer Shortage

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Eighteen minute video on Elon Musk, Tesla Layoffs, and the purported “Engineer Shortage.” Why is Tesla laying off its extremely difficult to find, best of the best, 10X programmers and other super-engineers? As gasoline prices soar, why is the premier electric car company — seemingly positioned to cash in on the fuel shortage — laying off anyone?

Links:

https://www.computerworld.com/article/2500724/obama-confronted-on-h-1b-use-during-google–hangout.html
https://www.simplethread.com/the-10x-programmer-myth/

Credits

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:SpaceX_CEO_Elon_Musk_visits_N%26NC_and_AFSPC_(190416-F-ZZ999-006)_(cropped).jpg (Public Domain US GOVT)

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#

[Video] COVID: RFK JR Speech in San Jose Reviewed

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Short video mini-review of a speech by Robert F Kennedy Jr. of Children’s Health Defense on the COVID pandemic, pandemic response, and related economic and civil liberties issues in San Jose, CA on Saturday, May 21, 2022.

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About Me

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[Video] Why the Manhattan Project was Unusual

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About twenty minute video on why the Manhattan Project, the World War II program that developed the first atomic bombs and reactors, is unusual among major inventions and discoveries both before and since. It was unusual in the number of major inventions and discoveries made in a few years and even more in that the first prototypes, the first full system tests (the Trinity bomb test in July 1945 and the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945) succeeded. Discusses the probable reason for this anomalous success and how it has led to inflated expectations for “New Manhattan Projects.”

My The Manhattan Project Considered as a Fluke Article: https://mathblog.com/the-manhattan-project-considered-as-a-fluke/

Alex Wellerstein’s We Don’t Need Another Manhattan Project Article: https://fas.org/pir-pubs/dont-need-another-manhattan-project/

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About Me

John F. McGowan, Ph.D. solves problems using mathematics and mathematical software, including developing gesture recognition for touch devices, video compression and speech recognition technologies. He has extensive experience developing software in C, C++, MATLAB, Python, Visual Basic and many other programming languages. He has been a Visiting Scholar at HP Labs developing computer vision algorithms and software for mobile devices. He has worked as a contractor at NASA Ames Research Center involved in the research and development of image and video processing algorithms and technology. He has published articles on the origin and evolution of life, the exploration of Mars (anticipating the discovery of methane on Mars), and cheap access to space. He has a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a B.S. in physics from the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).